Political Science

In one hand, you hand Allan Lichtman the guy who's chosen every president since Johnson...

So sayeth Allan Lichtman, whose "keys to the presidency" approach has successfully called every race since 1984. Samuel Staley, writing in NRO, came to a similar conclusion about a month ago using Lichtman's formulaon

the other hand, you have a guy that's gone 7 for 7 when it comes to guessing between two things, which isn't exactly "The Lottery."   Normal odds of winning the lottery are 1:54,000,000,000.  Odds of choosing the right president? 1:2.  So you see how his 7-7 performance isn't that impressive. Do you REALLY think there's not thousands of other people who have guessed the last 7 presidential elections correctly?  That's a laugh, same as I said ol' Nostradamus did too.  Do you REALLY think there's not a buncha guys that thought like Nostradomas did?